It’s a risky business voting

It’s a risky busi­ness, vot­ing. Gen­er­ally the prob­lem is you’re just encour­aging them.

Over the years I’ve come to appre­ci­ate what anarch­ists have known for a long time: par­lia­ment is an extremely use­ful tool for defus­ing demo­cracy and chan­nel­ling real struggles into safe dead-ends.

Many Last Straw read­ers know the score. They know that on Sat­urday in New Zealand’s Gen­eral Elec­tion the vote they have rep­res­ents an extremely lim­ited form of democracy.

They gen­er­ally know, sub-consciously or con­sciously, that par­lia­ment is a hier­ach­ical insti­tu­tion and that no mat­ter what their diverse views may be on how soci­ety should be run, many of those views will never be rep­res­en­ted by the polit­ical and eco­nomic elite, if for no other reason that investors and spec­u­lat­ors bank­roll many politi­cians and ulti­mately hold a veto over any gen­eral elec­tion, by threat of pulling their money out of the coun­try. It’s a demo­cracy, but there’s only one right answer.

It’s a long shot but if you’re going vote there is just one party that demon­strates ser­i­ous­ness, vis­ion and prag­mat­ism about the future we all face and and that’s the Green Party. You need only com­pare their policies with the policies of other parties (or the lack thereof) to real­ise this. There is also an aspect of the Greens that goes a little way to help­ing me over­come my aver­sion to par­lia­ment­ary democracy.

Appro­pri­ate Decision-making:
For the imple­ment­a­tion of eco­lo­gical wis­dom and social respons­ib­il­ity, decisions will be made dir­ectly at the appro­pri­ate level by those affected.

This is one of four items of the found­ing doc­u­ment of the Green Party and, the way I read it, means the even­tual dis­mant­ling of par­lia­ment with new par­ti­cip­at­ory eco­nomic and polit­ical insti­tu­tions tak­ing its place.

If you’re going to vote on Sat­urday remem­ber your actions have con­sequences. If you want to live in a New Zea­l­and where its people will be at war with each other; a coun­try where you can open the paper each day and feel the bigotry and resent­ment flow then you need to vote National or NZ First.

If you’re not up for vot­ing against your interests, or the interests of com­ing gen­er­a­tions, then give your party vote to the Greens. Or you might like to fol­low Matt McCarten’s advice in Septem­ber 11th’s The Her­ald on Sunday, explain­ing how to vote tac­tic­ally for a centre-left Government:

There is no doubt that this elec­tion is close and no one wants to waste their vote. I’m con­stantly asked by people how they should use their two votes to ensure a centre-left gov­ern­ment. In the par­tisan interest of help­ing the centre-left I offer the fol­low­ing tac­tical guide to killing the right at this election.

Obvi­ously Labour needs to get over 40 per cent of the party vote to have any chance to gov­ern. From their point of view they would like to get to 45 per cent. You can add Jim Ander­ton to their num­ber. But they will still need the Greens. As I say to soft Green sup­port­ers who are think­ing of vot­ing Labour, if Labour gets 44 per cent of the party vote and the Greens get 5 per cent of the party vote, that equals 49 per cent. That means that with Ander­ton they can gov­ern. But if Labour gets 44.1 per cent and the Greens get 4.9 per cent, that equals 44.1 per cent. Let me spell it out even clearer: If the Greens go under 5 per cent they get no seats in par­lia­ment at all and Brash becomes Prime Min­is­ter. So if you’re a soft Green or an inde­pend­ent and want a Labour-Green gov­ern­ment, you should give your party vote to the Greens. If you’re a die-hard Labour­ite then, of course, vote Labour.

More wor­ry­ingly for the centre-left, Win­ston has been try­ing to come back into the game in the past few days. Winston’s pos­i­tion is that he will sup­port either National or Labour on the basis of which of them gets the most seats. This is music to National’s ears and val­id­ates their elec­tion strategy to go for broke to win the entire centre-right bloc’s party vote. It meant killing Act, but it’s not like Act sup­port­ers have any­one else to vote for. The National cam­paign is now to get more party votes than Labour. If they achieve this, Brash gets Peter Dunne and New Zea­l­and First and that’s enough to gov­ern on cur­rent polling.

There­fore, it would be a dan­ger­ous thing now for National to tell Epsom voters to swing in behind Rod­ney Hide. If they do, then Act sym­path­isers who are cur­rently sup­port­ing National out­side Epsom will real­ise their party vote won’t be wasted. They will see that if Rod­ney wins Epsom they can swing back to Act who could then get 3 – 4 per cent of the party vote. But all of that vote comes dir­ectly off National in the all-important party vote. Win­ston and Dunne then are duty bound to sup­port Labour in Gov­ern­ment. So, sorry, Rod­ney, if National wants to win, it means you are history.

Nor­mally the elect­or­ate vote has no mean­ing, but it does in this elec­tion. Tari­ana Turia, Ander­ton, Dunne and Peters all hold seats and if they win, all their party votes will count and their sup­port­ers may well determ­ine the outcome.

So this is how you vote to keep out the right if you are a voter in the fol­low­ing electorates.

Wigram: Labour needs Ander­ton to win his seat so give him your elect­or­ate vote. But his Pro­gress­ive Party isn’t rat­ing more than 0.5 per cent, so any party vote for his party is wasted. Give it to either Labour or the Greens.

Taur­anga: Win­ston will back Brash if he gets back and National gets more votes. Even if he backs Labour he’ll stop any pro­gress­ive policy being advanced. If Win­ston loses the seat and NZ First goes under 5 per cent in the party vote, then Win­ston and all his MPs go down. There­fore, you hold your nose and give your elect­or­ate vote to the National can­did­ate so Win­ston loses Tauranga.

Epsom: If Hide can’t win this seat then Act is fin­ished. Labour needs to let their sup­port­ers tac­tic­ally vote for Richard Worth.

Ohariu-Belmont: Dunne is safe here, but if he has no other MPs after the elec­tion then he will be able to be ignored. Don’t vote for United Future as they will go with National if they can.

Te Tai Haur­uru: Tari­ana Turia is safe here. Cur­rent polling sug­gests the Maori Party can nation­ally get only one or two MPs off their party list, but given that they will win four elect­or­ates, at least, all their party votes will be wasted. The Maori Party will not sup­port National and recent polls show that Labour may well need the Maori Party. Maori seat voters should give their elect­or­ate vote to the Maori Party elect­or­ate can­did­ate. That way the Maori Party will win all seven seats and lock Brash out of gov­ern­ment. Maori voters should give their party vote to the Greens. after all, if the Greens get back they will be in gov­ern­ment. Hav­ing an ally around the cab­inet table would be a good thing.

If the left votes stra­tegic­ally then they should win, even it’s tight.

Comments

2 Comments so far. Leave a comment below.
  1. Parke,

    I blogged on this very ques­tion recently. Here it is:

    With all the sound and fury of our polit­ical pro­cess, it man­ages to hap­pen that no one ever ser­i­ously addresses the most press­ing prob­lems of our age. We fight end­lessly over how to man­age those prob­lems, but rarely give even lip-service to solv­ing them. And when we do give lip-service, that’s the end of it. (Talk is usu­ally inten­ded to replace action, because within our polit­ical cul­ture they are gen­er­ally interchangable.)

    Though I have some power as a cit­izen over polit­ical out­comes through the elect­oral pro­cess, vot­ing provides no lever­age what­so­ever over the polit­ical cul­ture itself, which is deeply flawed and fun­da­ment­ally non-democratic. If no viable can­did­ate is pro­pos­ing real solu­tions to our most press­ing prob­lems, and any­one who does is com­pletely mar­gin­al­ized by the polit­ical cul­ture, then our sys­tem denies me the only options I would con­sider worth vot­ing for. Mean­while, if I get drawn into the frac­tious fray of politics-as-usual I allow myself to get dis­trac­ted by the hub­bub and lend my sup­port, at least in prin­ciple, to the charade.

    The clas­sic objec­tion to this line of reas­on­ing argues that if people with import­ant ideas and power­ful solu­tions don’t par­ti­cip­ate in the elect­oral pro­cess, things will only get worse, not bet­ter. But this argu­ment over­looks a key fact: the sys­tem itself is heav­ily biased against solv­ing the world’s most press­ing prob­lems. At best, we will become more adept at man­aging those prob­lems, but we will never ser­i­ously approach solv­ing them.

    This is true for the simple reason that elites (who, by defin­i­tion, have most of the power) have organ­ized our sys­tem to main­tain their own hold on power. Solv­ing the most press­ing prob­lems dir­ectly threatens their hold on power. Pre­dict­ably, elites will do (and have done) everything they can to res­ist and sub­vert those kinds of solu­tions. Of course, this line of logic scath­ingly con­demns our sys­tem as, at best, a poor cousin to real demo­cracy – and, so, runs counter to the myth­o­logy we have relent­lessly drummed into our heads since childhood.

    What are the most press­ing prob­lems? To keep it simple, I reduce it to three (though this is quite an over-simplification, of course): poverty (sharp dis­par­it­ies of wealth), war (epi­demic viol­ence), and eco­lo­gical neg­li­gence. No one in power in this coun­try has spoken ser­i­ously about solv­ing the prob­lem of poverty, end­ing war, or rad­ic­ally redu­cing our impacts on the envir­on­ment. Any­one who does is con­sidered some kind of fruit­cake and is imme­di­ately dis­missed (if ever acknow­ledged in the first place).

    Nev­er­the­less, the price of not solv­ing these prob­lems con­tin­ues to rise, and has become per­il­ous. It is entirely reas­on­able to worry that our fail­ure to solve these probelms, and soon, will spell the col­lapse of human civil­iz­a­tion. At the very least, it’s pure folly to pre­tend we are at no ser­i­ous risk. But never mind, the polit­ical cul­ture that serves our elites con­tin­ues to churn away, as we remain obli­vi­ous to the tsunami of troubles mount­ing at our backs.

    In this con­text, my power as a cit­izen to choose politi­cians who have no inten­tion of solv­ing these prob­lems, or to choose well-meaning but inef­fec­tual can­did­ates, fails to impress. Instead, I am choos­ing to remain above the fray. My mes­sage to you (and to power, were they listen­ing (they’re not)): we don’t need smarter politi­cians or bet­ter ini­ti­at­ives, we need a dif­fer­ent sys­tem, one that solves key prob­lems and sub­verts the accu­mu­la­tion of power into the hands of rel­at­ively small and unfail­ingly greedy elites.

  2. The prob­lem is that while the solu­tions look easy to many uneducated cit­izens they are not simple. Tak­ing a simple action like let’s say giv­ing morphine to people in pain res­ults in unin­ten­ded con­sequences like people selling it to oth­ers to get them high.

    For example the most work­able solu­tions to envir­on­mental dam­age would be at the cost of the poor (take for example pet­rol tax which is hugely regress­ive) and would thus increase poverty. Alsao almost any drastic change to how the eco­nomy works would res­ult in poverty as the sys­tem adjus­ted.
    Sim­il­arly a extremely pro­gress­ive tax sys­tem (for example one that res­ul­ted in us all earn­ing the same wage plus or minus 30%) would res­ult in cer­tain types of people going over­seas and oth­ers not com­ing here unless you could force your neigh­bors to have sim­ilar tax policies. NZ doesn’t have much chance of being dir­ectly involved in a war but that is in a large part because we have strong allies and buf­fer states (and quite a bit of water). But in he wider scheme of things one needs some sort of sys­tem that pre­vents war from being prof­it­able and that comes down to other coun­tries being will­ing to go to war if required.

    > It is entirely reas­on­able to worry that our fail­ure to solve these prob­lems, and soon, will spell the col­lapse of human civilization.

    I can see how the war option might cause this. It would seem to depend on one of two things
    1) The inven­tion of a new super weapon and that weapon fall­ing into the hands of someone very nasty.
    2) China decid­ing it wanted to annex the USA or equivalent

    I don’t think the poverty one can cause that prob­lem and the envir­on­mental dam­age prob­ably can’t either because at worst we would just have to wear vari­ous things to pro­tect us from the res­ults of the pollution.

Add Your Comments

Disclaimer
Your email is never published nor shared.
Required
Required
Tips

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <ol> <ul> <li> <strong>

Ready?